YAO Jialin,LIAO Zhiheng,ZHAO Junjie,et al.Distribution and Risk Evaluation of Hail Disaster of Major Forest and Fruit Areas in Shanxi Province[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2026,41(02):209-215.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2026.02.011]
山西省主要林果区冰雹灾害分布及风险区划
- Title:
- Distribution and Risk Evaluation of Hail Disaster of Major Forest and Fruit Areas in Shanxi Province
- 文章编号:
- 2096-1618(2026)02-0209-07
- Keywords:
- Shanxi; hail; forest and fruit crops; risk
- 分类号:
- P426.64
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为深入认知冰雹灾害对山西林果的影响,利用山西省1983-2020年降雹资料、冰雹灾情资料以及2006-2022年林果资料、2024年防雹高炮资料,利用归一化、熵权法、标准差法对该区域冰雹灾害影响林果的风险进行评估分析,结果表明:(1)降雹日分布整体呈现东、北部多、西南部少,山区多、盆地少的格局; 冰雹最大尺寸、持续时间平均值大值区主要集中在山西南部低海拔盆地区域。(2)冰雹致灾危险性整体趋势为北部及东部处于高和较高等级,西部及南部大部分区域处于低等级,其中冰雹致灾危险性等级主要受降雹日次影响,冰雹最大尺寸及降雹持续时间影响次之。(3)林果种植面积大值区主要集中在西南部冰雹致灾危险性为低等级的区域。(4)林果遭受冰雹灾害的雹灾日和用于防雹的高炮数直观反映了各地林果是否易受冰雹影响成灾的程度,且高炮数多可能表明该地区林果相对重要,若出现冰雹可能造成的灾害损失较大。(5)临猗县、万荣县、吉县、隰县、芮城县、永济市等地区,即使分布于冰雹致灾危险性为低等级的区域,但是林果冰雹灾害风险等级均偏高的原因是以上各地林果种植面积大,极易遭受冰雹成灾,且较多的高炮分布,说明以上各地林果可能受冰雹灾害造成的损失较大。(6)林果种植区易发频发冰雹灾害的区域应适当通过增设高炮或其他方式加强防雹措施。
- Abstract:
- To gain an in-depth understanding of the impact of hail disasters on forest and fruit crops in Shanxi, data on hail occurrences from 1983 to 2020, hail disaster records, forest and fruit crop data from 2006 to 2022, and anti-hail cannon data from 2024 were utilized. The risk of hail disaster impact on forest and fruit crops in this region was assessed and analyzed using normalization, entropy weight method, and standard deviation method. The results indicate that:(1)Hail occurrence days are predominantly distributed in the east and north, with fewer occurrences in the southwest, and more in mountainous areas than in basins. The regions with the highest average values of maximum hail size and duration are mainly concentrated in low-altitude basins in southern Shanxi.(2)The overall trend of hail disaster risk is higher in the northern and eastern regions, while most of the western and southern regions are at a low-risk level.(3)Areas with large forest and fruit planting areas are mainly concentrated in regions with low hail disaster risk in the southwest.(4)The number of hail disaster days and the number of anti-hail cannons directly reflect the extent to which local forest and fruit crops are susceptible to hail damage.(5)Counties such as Linyi, Wanrong, Jixian, Xixian, Ruicheng, and Yongji have higher levels of hail disaster risk for forest and fruit crops, which is related to the large planting areas and high susceptibility to hail disasters.(6)In areas where forest and fruit planting regions are prone to frequent hail disasters, measures such as increasing the number of anti-hail cannons should be implemented to enhance hail prevention.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2024-06-27
基金项目:山西省气象局科学技术研究重点资助项目(SXJZCGYY202201-14)
通信作者:廖志恒.E-mail:zhliao@ium.cn