都江堰气候变化特征分析
- 文章编号:
- 2096-1618(2017)增-0065-05
- 摘要:
- 利用都江堰市国家基本气象站1955-2013年59年的气温和降水资料,采用线性趋势法、气候倾向率和Mann-Kendall突变检验法分析了都江堰近59年气候变化特征。结果表明:(1)都江堰年均气温大体上经历了冷暖两个时期,以1995年为界,前期为偏冷阶段,后期为偏暖阶段,其中最冷年为1976年,最暖年为2013年; 季节气温在四季变化均呈显著上升趋势,上升趋势为秋季>春季>全年>夏季>冬季,对于1995年以来的增暖,秋季贡献最大,春季次之,冬季最小; 同时,都江堰年均气温存在突变现象,由冷到暖,突变年份是2001年。(2)年降水量大体上经历了丰-丰枯交替-枯-丰枯交替的过程,在1955-1968年,1976-1981年,1989-1992年以及2010-2013年处于相对丰水期,在1969-1975年,1982-1988年以及1993-2009年处于相对枯水期,但整体上呈显著减少趋势,趋势强度为-37.4 mm/10a; 季节降水变化不明显,降水最多的为夏季和秋季,共占全年的77%; 从年降水量突变情况来看,近59年降水量存在有突变现象发生,由丰到枯,突变年份是1971年。
参考文献/References:
[1] 邱新法,刘昌明,曾燕. 黄河流域近40 年蒸发皿蒸发量的气候变化特征[J].自然资源学报,2003,18(4):437-442. [2] Brunetti M, Buffoni L, Mangianti F, et al. Temperature, precipitation and extreme events during the last century in Italy[J].Global and Planetary Change, 2004, 40(1):141-149. [3] Schönwiese C D, Grieser J, Trömel S. Secular change of extreme monthly precipitation in Europe[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2003, 75(3):245-250. [4] Davson J P, Racherla P N, Lynn B H, et al. Simulating present-day and future air quality as climate changes: Model evaluation [J]. Atmospheric Environment, 2008, 42(2):4551-4566. [5] 丁一汇,任国玉.中国气候变化科学概论[M].北京:气象出版社, 2008. [6] 沈永平, 王国亚. IPCC第一工作组第五次评估报告对全球气候变化认知的最新科学要点[J]. 冰川冻土, 2013, 35(5):1068-1076.
相似文献/References:
[1]杨含雪,肖天贵,金荣花.北半球夏季EAP遥相关型的时空及环流特征研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(04):430.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.04.013]
YANG Han-xue,XIAO Tian-gui,JIN Rong-hua.Analysis of Time and Space and Circulation Characteristics of EAPTeleconnection Patterns in the Northern Hemisphere in Summer[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(增刊1):430.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.04.013]
[2]张调风,赵全宁,来晓玲,等.2016年8月青海省气候异常特征及成因分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(06):713.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.06.017]
ZHANG Tiao-feng,ZHAO Quan-ning,LAI Xiao-ling,et al.Analysis on Climate Anomalies and Causation in August 2016 in Qinghai[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(增刊1):713.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.06.017]
[3]赵衍斌,肖天贵.四川地区强降水的时空分布特征[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2016,(01):94.
ZHAO Yan-bin,XIAO Tian-gui.The Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Heavy Rainfall in Sichuan[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2016,(增刊1):94.
[4]冯 琬,陈建洲,吴俊杰,等.中国机场雷暴特征的统计分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2016,(01):110.
FENG Wan,CHEN Jian-zhou,WU Jun-jie,et al.Statistical Analysis of the Characteristics of Thunderstorm in China[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2016,(增刊1):110.
[5]梁 爽,肖天贵,罗亚丽.急流背景下华南前汛期极端降水与大气河的关系[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2020,35(06):646.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2020.06.011]
LIANG Shuang,XIAO Tiangui,LUO Yali.Relationship between Extreme Precipitation Events and Atmospheric Riversin the Early Flood Season in South China under the Background of Jet Stream[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2020,35(增刊1):646.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2020.06.011]
[6]杨 越,文 军,陆宣承,等.近30年来若尔盖高寒湿地变化及其对区域气候变化的响应[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2021,36(01):73.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2021.01.012]
YANG Yue,WEN Jun,LU Xuancheng,et al.The Change of the Zoige Alpine Wetland and its Responses to Climate Change in the Past 30 Years[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2021,36(增刊1):73.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2021.01.012]
[7]曾 剑,徐晴晗,张 宇,等.中国西南地区百年气温的时空演变特征[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2022,37(04):412.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2022.04.009]
ZENG Jian,XU Qinghan,ZHANG Yu,et al.Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Temperature in Southwest China during the Past Century[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2022,37(增刊1):412.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2022.04.009]
[8]武维刚,董 剑,孟凡镭.南极中山站和长城站日照时数的气候变化特征及其影响因素[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2022,37(04):464.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2022.04.016]
WU Weigang,DONG Jian,MENG Fanlei.Climatic Variation Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Sunshine Duration at Zhongshan Station and Great Wall Station in Antarctica[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2022,37(增刊1):464.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2022.04.016]
[9]张寅钲,赵 勇,霍 文.塔里木盆地夏季热低压的特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2023,38(02):214.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2023.02.013]
ZHANG Yinzheng,ZHAO Yong,HUO Wen.Analysis on the Characteristics of Heat Low in Summer over the Tarim Basin[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2023,38(增刊1):214.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2023.02.013]
[10]徐 诚,淡 嘉,刘绿柳,等.成渝地区气候舒适度特征及未来变化研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2023,38(04):472.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2023.04.015]
XU Cheng,DAN Jia,LIU Lvliu,et al.Study on the Characteristics and Future Changes of Climate Comfort in Chengdu-Chongqing Region[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2023,38(增刊1):472.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2023.04.015]