REN Zhao-huan,Ni Chang-jian.Application of Immune Evolutionary Algorithm to Parameter Estimate of Compound Extreme Model[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2016,(02):223-227.
免疫进化算法在复合极值分布参数估计中的应用
- Title:
- Application of Immune Evolutionary Algorithm to Parameter Estimate of Compound Extreme Model
- 文章编号:
- 2096-1618(2016)02-0223-05
- Keywords:
- meteorology; climatological statistics; immune evolutionary algorithm; compound extreme model; parameter estimatation
- 分类号:
- P456.8
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 参数估计是复合极值模型应用的难点之一,针对这一问题,利用免疫进化算法来估计复合极值模型的参数,给出在气候统计方面的两个应用实例。结果表明:免疫进化算法应用于复合极值模型参数求解是合理和可行的; 相比于L-矩估计法及复合矩估计法,免疫进化算法所求参数拟合效果更好; 免疫进化算法具有高效、普适的优点,在其他参数优化问题上也有广泛的应用前景。
- Abstract:
- Parameter optimization is becoming one of the difficulties for the application of compound extreme model. To solve this problem, immune evolutionary algorithm(IEA)is proposed to optimize the parameter of compound extreme model, which was demonstrated to be effective using two concrete examples. The results show that:It is reasonable and feasible to optimize the parameter of compound extreme model with the proposed IEA; The fit model parameters calculated from IEA is better than that calculated from L-Moment and PWM; With the advantages of highly efficient and general, IEA is potential to be used in solving other parameters optimization problems.
参考文献/References:
[1] IPCC. Climate Change The Science of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M].Cambridge, UK; New York, USA: Cambridge University Press,1995: 1-572.
[2] IPCC. Climate Change The Science of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M].Cambridge UK:Cambridge University Press, 2001:1-785.
[3] 国家防汛抗旱总指挥办公室, 水利部南京水文水资源研究所. 中国水旱灾害[M].北京: 中国水利水电出版社, 1997.
[4] Pickands J.Statistical inference using extreme order statistics [J ].Ann Stat,1975,3:119-131.
[5] Hosking J R M, Wallis J R. Parameter and quantile estimation for the generalized pareto distribution[J]. Technometrics, 1987, 29: 339-349.
[6] 毛慧琴, 杜尧东, 宋丽莉. 广州短历时降水极值概率分布模型研究[J].气象, 2000, 30(10): 3-6.
[7] Liu T F, Ma F S, Prediction of Extreme Wave Heights and Wind Velocities[J]. Journal of the Waterway Port Coastal and O-cean Division.ASCE, 1980, 106.
[8] 马逢时,刘德辅.复合极值分布理论及其应用[J].应用数学学报,1979,2(4):366-375.
[9] Langley R M, El-Shaarawi A H. On the calculation of extreme wave height: A review[J].Ocean Engineering, 1986, 13( 1): 93 - 118.
[10] 刘德辅, 王莉萍. 复合极值分布理论及其工程应用 [J]. 中国海洋大学学报, 2004, 34(5): 892-902.
[11] W H Kirby, M E Moss.“Summary”of Flood-Frequency Analysis in The United States”, Journal of Hydrology,1987,96:5-14.
[12] 任照环, 倪长健. 二维复合极值模型在暴雨多变量联合分布中的应用[J].成都信息工程学院学报,2014, 20(3): 59-65.
[13] Liu T F.Long term distributions of Hurricane characteristics Pro[J].Offshore Technology Conference, 1982, 4325:305-313.
[14 ] 赵维谦, 张大错, 李辉权, 等. 复合极值分布的参数估计及其在工程设计中的应用[J]. 山东海洋学院学报, 1986, 16(3): 98-106.
[15 ] 刘晶, 吴新荣, 李素红. Poisson-Gumbel复合极值分布的参数估计[J].统计与决策, 2007, 18: 17-19.
[16 ] 张香云, 程维虎. 二项-广义Pareto复合极值分布模型的统计推断[J]. 应用数学学报, 2012, 35(3): 560-572.
[17 ] 倪长健, 丁晶, 李祚泳. 免疫进化算法[J].西南交通大学学报, 2003, 38(1): 87-91.
[18 ] 倪长健, 王顺久, 丁晶. 免疫进化算法及其在水面曲线计算中的应用[J].水利水电技术, 2012, 12(33): 8-10.
[19] 李祚泳, 汪嘉杨, 程会珍. 基于免疫进化算法优化的地下水水质评价普适公式[J].水科学进展, 2008, 19(5): 707-713.
相似文献/References:
[1]廖洪涛,肖天贵,魏 微,等.东亚梅雨季低频波波包传播特征[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(02):143.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.02.008]
LIAO Hongtao,XIAO Tiangui,WEI Wei,et al.Low Frequency Wave Packet Propagation
Characteristics in East Asian Meiyu Season[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(02):143.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.02.008]
[2]王雨歌,郑佳锋,朱克云,等.一次西南涡过程的云-降水毫米波云雷达回波特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(02):172.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.02.011]
WANG Yuge,ZHENG Jiafeng,ZHU Keyun,et al.Analysis of Cloud-Precipitation Echo Characteristics of a Southwest Vortex[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(02):172.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.02.011]
[3]青 泉,罗 辉,陈刚毅.基于L波段秒级探空数据V-3θ图形的四川盆地暴雨预报模型研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(02):186.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.02.013]
QING Quan,LUO Hui,CHEN Gangyi.Forecasting Model of Torrential Rain in Sichuan Basin based on V-3θ
Structural Graphs of L-Band Second Level Sounding Data[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(02):186.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.02.013]
[4]吴秋月,华 维,申 辉,等.基于湿位涡与螺旋度的一次西南低涡强降水分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(01):63.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.01.013]
WU Qiuyue,HUA Wei,SHEN Hui,et al.Diagnostic Analysis of a Southwest Vortex Rainstormbased on Moist Potential Vorticity and Helicity[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(02):63.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.01.013]
[5]李潇濛,赵琳娜,肖天贵,等.2000-2015年青藏高原切变线统计特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(01):91.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.01.016]
LI Xiao-meng,ZHAO Lin-na,XIAO Tian-gui,et al.Statistical Characteristics Analysis of the Shear Linein the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2015[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(02):91.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.01.016]
[6]喻乙耽,马振峰,范广洲.华西秋雨气候特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(02):164.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.011]
YU Yi-dan,MA Zhen-feng,FAN Guang-zhou.The Analysis of Climatic Feature of Autumn Rainfall in West China[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(02):164.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.011]
[7]孙康慧,巩远发.20世纪70年代末云南省雨季降水的突变及原因分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(02):177.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.012]
SUN Kang-hui,GONG Yuan-fa.Abrupt Change of Precipitation in Rainy Season in YunnanProvince in Late 1970s and its Cause Analysis[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(02):177.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.012]
[8]吴树炎,顾建峰,刘海文,等.高原冬季雪深与重庆夏季降水的年际关系研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(02):184.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.013]
WU Shu-yan,GU Jian-feng,LIU Hai-wen,et al.Interannual Relationship between Winter Snow Depth over TibetanPlateau and Summer Precipitation over Chongqing[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(02):184.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.013]
[9]魏 凡,李 超.利用气象雷达信息划设雷暴飞行限制区的方法研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(02):205.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.016]
WEI Fan,LI Chao.Study on the Method of Setting Up Limited Flying area ofThunderstorm by Using Weather Radar Information[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(02):205.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.016]
[10]朱 莉,张腾飞,李华宏,等.云南一次短时强降水过程的中尺度特征及成因分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(03):335.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.03.017]
ZHU Li,ZHANG Teng-fei,LI Hua-hong,et al.Analysis on Meso-scale Features and Forming Reasons of a Short TimeIntensive Precipitation Case in Yunnan Province[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(02):335.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.03.017]
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2015-05-10 基金项目:公益性行业(气象)资助项目(GYHY201006023)