YU Bao-long,LI Chao,LIU Liang,et al.The Warning Indices Analysis of Rain Flood Relationship and Critical Rate of Rainfall of Chongqing Tiaoshi River[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2017,(05):567-570.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2017.05.017]
重庆跳石河雨洪关系和临界雨量预警指标分析
- Title:
- The Warning Indices Analysis of Rain Flood Relationship and Critical Rate of Rainfall of Chongqing Tiaoshi River
- 文章编号:
- 2096-1618(2017)05-0567-04
- Keywords:
- climatology; flooding disaster; torrent ditch; storm flood; warning; critical rainfall; index
- 分类号:
- P333.2
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为做好小流域山洪强降水天气预警,利用2013-2014年巴南跳石河水位和雨量资料,研究巴南跳石河单站雨量与水位的关系,计算致灾临界雨量和水位。结果表明:跳石河水位和提前5~11 h的单站累计雨量,相关系数较好,通过了0.01显著性水平检验,并得出相对水位和5 h累计雨量的关系式。最后,根据跳石河河道普查资料和中国气象局山洪灾害风险等级标准,利用雨洪关系式调整参数计算出2个标准的临界雨量,这些指标可以用于跳石河山洪灾害的检验和预警。
- Abstract:
- In order to handle the warning of heavy rainfall in small watersheds, the author researched the relationship between the rainfall and the water level of single station, which is based on the data of the water level and rainfall of the Tiaoshi River from 2013 to 2014. And then the author calculated the critical rainfall and water level.The results showed that: the water level and the cumulative rainfall of 5 to 11 h in the first half of the river and the correlation coefficient are good, and it passed through the test of the significance of the level of 0.01, and the relationship between the relative water level and 5 h cumulative rainfall. Finally, according to the census data and jump stone river flood disaster China Meteorological Bureau risk grading standards, the use of rainwater relation adjustment parameters to calculate the critical rainfall of 2 standard, and these indicators can be used to check and stone mountain flood disaster warning jump.
参考文献/References:
[1] 何易平,梁志勇,赵明,等.山洪灾情评估研究进展[J].中国防汛抗旱,2004,(4):16-25.
[2] 吉莉,李强,马君,等.基于信息扩散理论的重庆地区暴雨灾害风险评估[J].成都信息工程学院学报,2014,29(6):666-664.
[3] 李昌志,郭良,刘昌军,等.刍议山洪灾害分析评价[J].中国水利,2014,(18):14-17.
[4] 张容焱,游立军,高建芸,等.统计方法与淹没模型结合的山洪灾害风险评估方法及其应用[J].气象,2013,39(12):1642-1648.
[5] 翟丹华,刘德,李强,等.引发重庆中西部暴雨的西南低涡特征分析[J].高原气象,2014,33(1):140-147.
[6] 李昌志,孙东亚.山洪灾害预警指标确定方法[J].中国水利,2012,(9):54-56.
[7] 樊建勇,单九生,管珉,等.江西省小流域山洪灾害临界雨量计算分析[J].气象,2012,38(9):1110-1114.
[8] 彭涛,殷志远,李兰.水文模型在计算中小流域致汛临界面雨量中的应用[J].气象,2014,40(11):1354-1362.
[9] 胡娟,闵颖,李华宏,等.云南省山洪地质灾害气象预报预警方法研究[J].灾害学,2014,29(1):62-66.
[10] Norbiato D,Borga M,Esposti S D,et a1.Flash flood warning based on rainfall thresholds and soil moisture conditions:an as-sessment for gauged an dungauged basins[J].Journal of Hy-drology,2008,362(3-4):274-290.
[11] Au S W C.Rain-induced Slope Instability in Hong Kong[J].Engineering Geology,1998.5l(1):l-36.
[12] Chen N S,Yang C I,Zhou W.et a1.The Critical Rainfall Characteris1ics for Torrent sand Debris Flows in the Wenchuan Earthquake Stricken Area[J].Journal of Mountain Science,2009,6(4):362-372.
[13] 梁维亮,黄明策,屈梅芳.基于GIS的广西中小河流山洪气象风险监测预警系统[J].气象研究与应用,2012,33(4):43-46,85.
[14] 陈真莲,黄国如,成国栋.小流域山洪灾害临界雨量计算分析方法[J].中国农村水利水电,2014(6):82-85.
[15] 黎坚,于文杰,庞晓宇.茂名市山洪灾害临界雨量分析[J].气象研究与应用,2014,35(S2):179-180.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2017-05-02 基金项目:重庆市气象局青年基金资助项目(QNJJ-201506)