BI Ruijun,CHENG Zhigang.The Snowfall Characteristics and Cause of Formation in Winter of Three-River Headwaters Region[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2022,37(03):318-324.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2022.03.012]
三江源冬季降雪时空特征及成因分析
- Title:
- The Snowfall Characteristics and Cause of Formation in Winter of Three-River Headwaters Region
- 文章编号:
- 2096-1618(2022)03-0318-07
- Keywords:
- atmospheric science; climate change; Three-River Headwaters Region; snowfall in winter; spatiotemporal characteristics; circulation background
- 分类号:
- P467
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为研究三江源冬季降雪时空分布特征及形成机制,基于美国国家环境预测中心和美国国家大气研究中心提供的大气环流再分析资料及国家气候中心提供的1987-2016年三江源18个国家站逐日降水、平均温度资料,通过EOF分析、小波分析、合成分析等方法对三江源冬季降雪进行研究,发现北极涛动、东亚冬季风、南支槽对三江源冬季降雪有影响。研究结果表明,三江源冬季降雪空间分布表现为“东强西弱”的特征,冬季降雪整体呈减弱趋势; 多雪年冷暖气流在三江源地区相汇,少雪年三江源地区被偏北气流控制; 当北极涛动为正(负)位相、东亚冬季风减弱(增强)、南支槽加深(减弱)都有(不)利于三江源降雪增加。
- Abstract:
- In order to study the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics and formation mechanism of winter snowfall in the Three-River Headwaters Region, this paper is based on the atmospheric circulation reanalysis data, provided by NCEP and NCAR, and the daily precipitation and temperature data of 18 national stations in Three-River Headwaters Region from 1987 to 2016, provided by the National Climate Center. Through EOF analysis, wavelet analysis, synthesis analysis and other methods, we study the winter snowfall of Three-River Headwaters Region, and we find Arctic Oscillation, East Asian Winter Monsoon and trough in the South Branch have influence for winter snowfall of Three-River Headwaters Region. The results show that the spatial distribution of winter snowfall in Three-River Headwaters Region is strong in the east and weak in the west, and the overall winter snowfall shows a weakening trend. Cold and warm air flow converges in the Three-River Headwaters Region in snowy years, it is controlled by northerly airflow in the year of less snow. When the Arctic oscillation is in a positive phase, the East Asian Winter Monsoon weakens and Trough in the South Branch deepens, the snowfall of Three-River Headwaters Region will increase. When the Arctic oscillation is in negative phase, the East Asian Winter Monsoon strengthens and Trough in the South Branch weakens, it is not conducive to snowfall in Three-River Headwaters Region.
参考文献/References:
[1] 丁永建,效存德.冰冻圈变化及其影响研究的主要科学问题概论[J].地球科学进展,2013,28(10):1067-1076.
[2] 秦大河,周波涛,效存德.冰冻圈变化及其对中国气候的影响[J].气象学报,2014,72(5):869-879.
[3] 秦大河,效存德,丁永建,等.国际冰冻圈研究动态和我国冰冻圈研究的现状与展望[J].应用气象学报,2006(6):649-656.
[4] 李培基.中国季节积雪资源的初步评价[J].地理学报,1988(2):108-119.
[5] 梁潇云,钱正安,李万元.青藏高原东部牧区雪灾的环流型及水汽场分析[J].高原气象,2002(4):359-367.
[6] 马林,李锡福,张青梅,等.青藏高原东部牧区冬季雪灾天气的形成及其预报[J].高原气象,2001(3):325-331.
[7] 周倩,程一帆,周甘霖,等.2008年10月青藏高原东部一次区域暴雪过程及气候背景分析[J].高原气象,2011,30(1):22-29.
[8] 董锁成,周长进,王海英.“三江源”地区主要生态环境问题与对策[J].自然资源学报,2002(6):713-720.
[9] 王堃,洪绂曾,宗锦耀.“三江源”地区草地资源现状及持续利用途径[J].草地学报,2005(S1):28-31.
[10] 侯文菊,铁顺富,张世珍.“三江源”地区冬季积雪及气温降水的变化特征[J].青海科技,2010,17(1):60-66.
[11] 王玉娟,刘晓燕,白爱娟,等.1961-2017年三江源地区极端降雪指数变化特征分析[J].气象与环境学报,2018,34(6):108-115.
[12] 孟宪红,陈昊,李照国,等.三江源区气候变化及其环境影响研究综述[J].高原气象,2020,39(6):1133-1143.
[13] 唐红玉,杨小丹,王希娟,等.三江源地区近50年降水变化分析[J].高原气象,2007(1):47-54.
[14] WenL,Naqabhata N,Shihua L,et al.Impact of Rain Snow Threshold Temperature on Snow Depth Simulation in Land Surface and Regional Atmospheric Models[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2013,30(5):1449-1460.
[15] 王澄海,李燕,王艺.北半球大气环流及其冬季风的年代际变化对青藏高原冬季降雪的影响[J].气候与环境研究,2015,20(4):421-432.
[16] 边晴云,吕世华,文莉娟,等.黄河源区不同降雪年土壤冻融过程及其水热分布对比分析[J].干旱区研究,2017,34(4):906-911.
相似文献/References:
[1]梁家豪,陈科艺,李 毓.WRF模式中积云对流参数化方案对南海土台风“Ryan”模拟的影响研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(02):162.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.02.010]
LIANG Jiahao,CHEN Keyi,LI Yu.The Impact of Different Cumulus Parameterization Schemes of the WRF
Model on the Typhoon “Ryan” Simulation over the South China Sea[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(03):162.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.02.010]
[2]汤 彬,肖国杰,邬 亮.拉萨市近54年气温变化特征[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(01):72.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.01.014]
TANG Bin,XIAO Guojie,WU Liang.Variation Characteristics of Air Temperature in Lhasa City in Recent 54 Years[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(03):72.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.01.014]
[3]廖 琦,肖天贵,金荣花.东亚副热带西风急流年际变化特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(01):68.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.01.013]
LIAO Qi,XIAO Tian-Gui,JIN Rong Hua.Analysis on Inter-annual Variation of EastAsian Subtropical Westerly Jet[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):68.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.01.013]
[4]喻乙耽,马振峰,范广洲.华西秋雨气候特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(02):164.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.011]
YU Yi-dan,MA Zhen-feng,FAN Guang-zhou.The Analysis of Climatic Feature of Autumn Rainfall in West China[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):164.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.011]
[5]孙康慧,巩远发.20世纪70年代末云南省雨季降水的突变及原因分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(02):177.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.012]
SUN Kang-hui,GONG Yuan-fa.Abrupt Change of Precipitation in Rainy Season in YunnanProvince in Late 1970s and its Cause Analysis[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):177.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.012]
[6]雷 蕾,程志刚,冯冬蕾,等.近16年秦巴山区TRMM降水资料的降尺度研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(02):190.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.014]
LEI Lei,CHENG Zhi-gang,FENG Dong-lei,et al.Statistical Downscaling of TRMM Precipitation Data inQinling-Daba Mountains Area in Recent 16 Years[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):190.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.014]
[7]高清泉,韩瑽琤,肖天贵.微波通信链路监测降水试验及可行性探究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(02):197.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.015]
GAO Qing-quan,HAN Cong-cheng,XIAO Tian-gui.Feasibility Study of Microwave CommunicationLink for Rainfall Monitoring Purposes[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):197.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.02.015]
[8]黄 瑶,肖天贵,刘思齐.2016年7月四川持续性强降水的中尺度滤波分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(03):307.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.03.014]
HUANG Yao,XIAO Tian-gui,LIU Si-qi.Mesoscale Filtering Analysis of Persistent Heavy Rainfall in Sichuan in July 2016[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):307.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.03.014]
[9]李雅婷,苏德斌,孙晓光,等.四川盆地风廓线雷达大气折射率结构常数特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(04):375.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.04.005]
LI Ya-ting,SU De-bin,SUN Xiao-guang,et al.Characteristic Analysis of Atmospheric Structure Constant of Refractive Index of
Sichuan Basin based on Wind Profiler Radar[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):375.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.04.005]
[10]宾 昕,程志刚,王俊锋,等.近17a秦巴山区NDVI季节变化差异及其海拔依赖性特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(03):302.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.03.016]
BIN Xin,CHENG Zhigang,WANG Junfeng,et al.Seasonal Variation of NDVI and Altitude Dependent Characteristics in Qinling-Daba Mountains in Recent 17 Years[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(03):302.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.03.016]
[11]石 宇,肖子牛,朱克云.夏季角动量输送变化与中国东部降水的关系[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(04):456.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.04.016]
SHI Yu,XIAO Zi-niu,ZHU Ke-yun.Relationship between Angular Momentum Transportand Precipitation in Eastern China in Summer[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):456.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.04.016]
[12]金凡琦,程志刚,靳立亚,等.成渝城市群热环境效应与植被覆盖度关系研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(03):308.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.03.017]
JIN Fanqi,CHENG Zhigang,JIN Liya,et al.Study on the Relationship between Thermal Environment Effect and Vegetation Coverage in Chengyu Urban Agglomeration[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(03):308.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.03.017]
[13]元 震,肖天贵.高原低涡与OLR、风场的气候变化及低频信号特征[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2018,(05):551.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.05.013]
YUAN Zhen,XIAO Tian-gui.Climate Change and Low-frequency Signal Characteristics of
Plateau Vortex, OLR and Wind Fields[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2018,(03):551.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2018.05.013]
[14]陈宇航,范广洲,张永莉,等.基于GLDAS资料的青藏高原下垫面变化特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2016,(02):204.
CHEN Yu-hang,FAN Guang-zhou,ZHANG Yong-li,et al.The Analysis of Underlying Variation Characteristics
over Tibetan Plateau based on GLDAS Data[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2016,(03):204.
[15]喻琴昆,肖天贵,金荣花.热带MJO活动对四川地区2000~2010年
夏季降水的影响[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2016,(02):228.
YU Qin-kun,XIAO Tian-gui,JIN Rong-hua.Impact of MJO Activities on Precipitation in Summer of 2000-2010 over Sichuan[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2016,(03):228.
[16]李星星,陈权亮,姚世博.热带大气季节内振荡对华南后汛期降水的影响[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2017,(02):192.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2017.02.013]
LI Xing-xing,CHEN Quan-liang,YAO Shi-bo.Impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Post-flood
Season Precipitation in South China[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2017,(03):192.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2017.02.013]
[17]王 超,肖天贵,假 拉,等.西藏地区降雪降水天数比率(SD/PD)变化特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2017,(05):532.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2017.05.011]
WANG Chao,XIAO Tian-gui,JIA La,et al.Changes in Days of Snowfall/Precipitation Ratio in Tibet[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2017,(03):532.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2017.05.011]
[18]任晓玥,王 伟,周 可.1979-2017年江淮梅雨降水变化及一次典型事件特征分析[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2019,(06):632.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.06.012]
REN Xiaoyue,WANG Wei,ZHOU Ke.Precipitation Changes of Jianghuai Meiyu from 1979 to 2017 and a Typical Event Feature Analysis[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2019,(03):632.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.06.012]
[19]张禄英,毛文书,庞 波.成都平原气候变化特征[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2020,35(02):179.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2020.02.009]
ZHANG Lu-ying,MAO Wen-shu,PANG Bo.Characteristics of Climate Change in Chengdu Plain[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2020,35(03):179.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2020.02.009]
[20]霍雅姝,肖天贵,毛世杰,等.成都市龙泉驿区近37 a气候变化特征研究[J].成都信息工程大学学报,2020,35(03):313.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2020.03.012]
HUO Yashu,XIAO Tiangui,MAO Shijie,et al.Research on the Characteristics of Climate Change in Longquanyi District of Chengdu City in Recent 37 Years[J].Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2020,35(03):313.[doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2020.03.012]
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2021-04-07
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(41971026)